In a year where Republicans in general look to be in trouble, it is absolutely amazing to me that the Democrats are going to nominate Barack Obama. Given Hillary's latest string of wins (an ARG poll also shows her winning South Dakota and close in Montana, which would be really embarassing for Obama) and the decision about delegates, Hillary is very close to winning the popular vote under all of the scenarios -- even the one that gives the uncommitted votes in Michigan to Obama.

Given that, and the fact Hillary has done so well in all the swing states, it is simply amazing to me-- and funny, in some ways -- that the Democrat superdelegates seem hell bent on nominating Obama, who I think will prove to be a disaster for them -- even though they have an out with the popular vote thing.

The pastor problems are issues...add that to the Michelle Obama video incident, and obama's extreme positions on the war, I think McCain will end up winning by a pretty solid electoral margin. If Hillary were the nominee, I would say we were in trouble. I have to say that though I disagree with her, Hillary has come across as a much more reasonable figure over time ... and would probably beat McCain in the general. Obama, however, I think will be this year's Michael Dukakis.

Not saying Obama isn't formidable -- he is a great campaigner -- but we are quite fortunate that the Dems are going down that road.