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Zogby Polls
Clinton Pulling Away in "The Battle of Pennsylvania"
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John McCain has opened up a six point lead over Barack Obama, and holds an eight point lead over Hillary Clinton in a new Reuters/Zogby Poll out today.
46% John McCain
40% Barack Obama
48% John McCain
40% Hillary Clinton
The poll showed Arizona Sen. McCain, who has clinched the Republican presidential nomination, is benefiting from the lengthy campaign battle between Obama and Clinton, who are now battling to win Pennsylvania on April 22.
McCain leads 46 percent to 40 percent in a hypothetical matchup against Obama in the November presidential election, according to the poll.
That is a sharp turnaround from the Reuters/Zogby poll from last month, which showed in a head-to-head matchup that Obama would beat McCain 47 percent to 40 percent.
"The last couple of weeks have taken a toll on Obama and in a general election match-up, on both Democrats," said pollster John Zogby.
Matched up against Clinton, McCain leads 48 percent to 40 percent, narrower than his 50 to 38 percent advantage over her in February.
"It's not surprising to me that McCain's on top because there is disarray and confusion on the Democratic side," Zogby said
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Confirmation of a Move in Mac's Direction!
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John McCain goes into today's primaries in Texas and Ohio with huge leads over Mike Huckabee, according to the latest Zogby Tracking Polls in the two states. McCain needs just over 100 delegates tonight to clinch the nomination. John McCain.com reports that he has 1,090 delegates to date, just 101 short of the needed 1,191 for the GOP Nomination. Here is the Zogby Poll information for the two big states:
The telephone surveys also show Republican front-runner John McCain, the senator from Arizona, holding his edges in Texas and Ohio. He continues to enjoy a sizable lead over closest challenger Mike Huckabee of Arkansas. He has made gains among Texas Republicans and appears headed for victory in both states.
|
Ohio - Republicans |
3-1/3 |
2-29/3-2 |
2-28/3-1 |
2-27/29 |
2-26/28 |
|
McCain |
59% |
61% |
61% |
58% |
62% |
|
Huckabee |
29% |
28% |
27% |
23% |
19% |
|
Paul |
5% |
5% |
3% |
8% |
8% |
|
Someone else |
2% |
2% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
|
Not sure |
4% |
4% |
6% |
7% |
6% |
Texas - Republicans 3-1/3 2-29/3-2 2-28/3-1 2-27/29 2-26/28 McCain 57% 53% 54% 54% 53% Huckabee 29% 33% 36% 31% 27% Paul 6% 6% 4% 7% 11% Someone else 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% Not sure 4% 3% 4% 4% 5%
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As voters go to the polls this morning in Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Vermont, on the Democratic side it looks like Hillary Clinton is making quite a comeback against Barack Obama. Given up for dead by the media last week, Clinton is closing the gap in both states, and in this morning's Zogby tracking poll, she has taken a three point lead in Texas over Obama, and is now even with him in Ohio. If she wins these two states, look for a long, bitter, bloody fight for the nomination all the way to the convention!
The telephone surveys show Clinton had a second consecutive good day, and now leads Obama 47% to 44% in Texas. The two are tied at 44% in Ohio. It is notable that 7% in Texas and 8% in Ohio said they were yet unsure about who to support in the Democratic Party race, even at this late moment. The surveys also show support is somewhat soft in the race, and could still shift in the waning hours.
The historic race between the first woman and first African American with serious chances to win a major party presidential race has been contentious in both Texas and Ohio, as the two are still battling to gain supremacy in the race for party delegates.
|
Texas - Democrats |
3-1/3 |
2-29/3-2 |
2-28/3-1 |
2-27/29 |
2-26/28 |
|
Clinton |
47% |
44% |
43% |
43% |
42% |
|
Obama |
44% |
47% |
47% |
45% |
48% |
|
Gravel |
1% |
2% |
1% |
<1% |
<1% |
|
Someone else |
2% |
1% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
|
Not sure |
7% |
6% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
Ohio - Democrats 3-1/3 2-29/3-2 2-28/3-1 2-27/29 2-26/28 Clinton 44% 45% 47% 45% 44% Obama 44% 47% 46% 45% 42% Gravel 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Someone else 3% 2% 1% 3% 5% Not sure 8% 6% 5% 6% 9%
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Just four days ahead of the primaries in Texas and Ohio, John McCain holds commanding leads in both states according to the most recent polls.
In Ohio, a Reuters/C-Span/Zogby Poll done Feb. 26-28, has it:
62% John McCain
19% Mike Huckabee
8% Ron Paul
In Texas, Reuters/C-Span/Zogby, also done Feb. 26-28, has it:
53% John McCain
27% Mike Huckabee
11% Ron Paul (a Congressman from Texas)
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